trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +61.1% | +45.7% | 100% | 100% | +43.0% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +61.1% | +45.7% | 100% | 100% | +43.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +20.8% | +9.3% | 75% | 75% | +40.3% |
| all | 15 | -34.4% | -40.6% | 40% | 40% | -29.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.6% | 40% | -29.3% |
| 10% | -46.3% | 40% | -36.1% |
| 15% | -51.5% | 33% | -42.3% |
| 20% | -56.3% | 13% | -47.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 36¢ | 37¢ | $251 | $260 | +$10 (+4%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $56 | $56 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $4 | $6 | +$2 (+51%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | Jun 27 | $131 | +$90 | +68% |
| Will Désiré Doué score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $117 | +$82 | +70% |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 22 | $211 | +$95 | +45% |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | May 16 | $9 | −$9 | -95% |
| Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz che | Aug 15 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Will Wesley So win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament | Aug 13 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| Will Awonder Liang win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters? | Aug 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Vidit Gujrathi win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters? | Aug 12 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tourna | Aug 12 | $295 | −$295 | -100% |
| Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tou | Aug 11 | $275 | −$275 | -100% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%? | May 18 | $1,569 | −$1,569 | -100% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | May 18 | $320 | −$60 | -19% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | May 18 | $1,827 | +$772 | +42% |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 04 | $219 | +$97 | +44% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20? | Apr 20 | $229 | +$75 | +33% |