Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:45:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7159…576f crypto 619 markets active 1h ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$5 (-1%) realized −$5 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate91%563W / 56L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day51.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$0
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 247 -0.1% -9.6% 97% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 619 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 25% -10.7%
≤90d 619 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 25% -10.7%
all 619 -1.5% -10.9% 91% 25% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 25% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 9% -19.3%
15% -27.2% 2% -27.1%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)91%
Wins / losses563 / 56
Open positions0
Markets (closed)619 / 619
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day51.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 619 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 31m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1279 history records