Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:53:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7148…600b
crypto · 943 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$893 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,006 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,006
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses100 / 512
Open positions0
Markets (closed)612 / 943
History coverage21d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day164.0
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 612 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,247
7 days−$1,079
14 days+$231
30 days+$1,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$3 +1628%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% +$2,277
other 7% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $105 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 26¢ $112 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $121 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $71 18h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $71 18h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $71 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $8 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 30h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+35.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 349 -47.0% -52.0% 6% 6% -57.7%
≤30d 612 +49.5% +35.2% 16% 16% +19.0%
≤90d 612 +49.5% +35.2% 16% 16% +19.0%
all 612 +49.5% +35.2% 16% 16% +19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +35.2% 16% +19.0%
10% ← realistic here +22.3% 16% +7.6%
15% +10.5% 16% -2.8%
20% -0.4% 16% -12.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records