Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T06:12:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7142…8542 crypto 826 markets active 1d ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 23d only
✗ bot/MM pace (137 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$381 (-5%) realized −$381 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -32% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate34%410W / 784L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day137.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,857
7 days−$2,067
14 days−$2,328
30 days−$2,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$478
other 0% −$6
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (137 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 410 -89.3% -90.4% 3% 3% -84.4%
≤30d 1194 -31.5% -38.0% 34% 29% -31.7%
≤90d 1194 -31.5% -38.0% 34% 29% -31.7%
all 1194 -31.5% -38.0% 34% 29% -31.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover137.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.0% 29% -31.7%
10% ← realistic here -43.9% 23% -38.2%
15% -49.4% 17% -44.2%
20% -54.3% 12% -49.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -27% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
14% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -27% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -62% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.7 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.37 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses410 / 784
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1194 / 826
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$9
Trades / day137.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1194 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$6 -116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $18 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $7 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 5d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 6d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 6d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 6d
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 6d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 6d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $8 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records