Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:16:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7137…c3de
crypto · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Net worth$0
Realized−$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses127 / 92
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)219 / 219
History coverage68d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 219 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$4
14 days+$3
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 71¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Hurricanes 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? Yes 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? Yes 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Tuncay Duran vs Stefano Napolitano Stefano Napolitano 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Up 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Qinwen Zheng 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Yes 76¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Birmingham (Doubles): Broom/Stevenson vs Kirkov/Peers Broom/Stevenson 84¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-31? Yes 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Masamichi Imamura 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $1 −$1 -78%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $1 +$1 +92%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 14 $2 −$2 -92%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 14 $2 +$2 +98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $2 −$2 -75%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $2 −$2 -88%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $1 −$1 -68%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $2 +$1 +58%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $2 −$1 -62%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2 +$1 +27%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $2 +$1 +32%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2 +$1 +30%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $2 −$1 -34%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $2 $0 -4%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $1 +$2 +152%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $1 $0 +46%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $1 +$1 +75%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $1 +$1 +108%
Will UD Almería vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 09 $1 $0 +26%
Bratislava: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Emilio Nava Jun 09 $1 +$1 +51%
Modena: Xinyu Gao vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 09 $1 $0 +38%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Cattolica: Michele Ribecai vs Franco Agamenone Jun 08 $1 +$1 +80%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $1 $0 +39%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $1 $0 +21%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $1 $0 -6%
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $1 $0 +18%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $1 $0 +32%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $1 $0 -1%
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Mary Stoiana Jun 04 $1 $0 +16%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 04 $1 $0 +43%
Birmingham (Doubles): Broom/Stevenson vs Kirkov/Peers Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatov Jun 03 $1 −$1 -60%
Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $1 +$1 +55%
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Jun 03 $1 +$1 +51%
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 03 $1 $0 +30%
Heilbronn: Henri Squire vs Pedro Martinez Jun 03 $1 $0 +26%
Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Johannus Monday Jun 03 $1 $0 -4%
Gimnasia vs. Ferro Carril Oeste Jun 03 $1 $0 +21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$31
sports 22% +$1
world 11% −$32
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Los Angeles Dodgers $0 8m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 26¢ $1 24m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 44¢ $2 30m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 22¢ $1 45m
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 57¢ $2 1h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 28¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants SELL San Francisco Giants $0 16h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 38¢ $2 17h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire SELL Dallas Wings 51¢ $1 18h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 39¢ $1 19h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 85¢ $2 19h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 36¢ $1 19h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Houston Astros 33¢ $2 20h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 19¢ $1 20h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic SELL Iva Jovic $1 26h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Iva Jovic 31¢ $2 26h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets SELL Atlanta Braves $0 42h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 46¢ $2 43h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Detroit Tigers 11¢ $0 43h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 33¢ $1 44h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Miami Marlins 44¢ $1 44h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 31¢ $1 44h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 73¢ $3 44h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 45¢ $2 45h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 21¢ $2 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 17¢ $1 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 43¢ $2 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Kansas City Royals 41¢ $3 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 31¢ $2 2d
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher SELL Lucia Bronzetti 41¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +14.9% +3.9% 66% 66% -2.8%
≤30d 78 +1.1% -8.6% 63% 62% -9.9%
≤90d 219 -7.4% -16.2% 58% 57% -26.4%
all 219 -7.4% -16.2% 58% 57% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.2% 57% -26.4%
10% -24.2% 48% -33.4%
15% -31.5% 35% -39.9%
20% -38.3% 24% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 451 history records