Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:29:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

71
0x7121…b28d
crypto · 29 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$69 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses8 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage1d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day745.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$69
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$4 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$16 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$12 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $65 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$9 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $61 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -6.2% -15.1% 28% 10% -17.5%
≤30d 29 -6.2% -15.1% 28% 10% -17.5%
≤90d 29 -6.2% -15.1% 28% 10% -17.5%
all 29 -6.2% -15.1% 28% 10% -17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover745.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 10% -17.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 7% -25.4%
15% -30.6% 7% -32.6%
20% -37.4% 3% -39.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 831 history records