Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:42:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x7120…526f crypto 54 markets active 3d ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1078 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ profit hinges on one bet (luck, not edge)✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$6,757 (-42%) realized −$6,757 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate30%27W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$301per market
Trades / day1077.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$518
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1078 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-1.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +9.3% -1.1% 30% 5% -13.3%
≤30d 91 +9.3% -1.1% 30% 5% -13.3%
≤90d 91 +9.3% -1.1% 30% 5% -13.3%
all 91 +9.3% -1.1% 30% 5% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1077.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.1% 5% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.6% 3% -21.6%
15% -19.2% 3% -29.2%
20% -27.2% 3% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 50% · top 2 71% profit hinges on 1 bet — luck, not edge
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
63.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$38 vs −$25 · ×1.53 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,757
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses27 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)91 / 54
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$301
Trades / day1077.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 91 Trades
no open positions (37 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 17 $14 +$511 +3670%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$145 -13218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 3AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$6 -309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 +$225 +2775%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 3AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 1AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 2PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$93 +384%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $250 −$250 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 2PM ET Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $194 −$24 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $274 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $390 −$83 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $284 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $116 +$16 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $176 +$14 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1,044 −$50 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $219 +$18 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $217 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $245 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $447 −$18 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $463 −$14 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $448 −$21 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $22 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records