Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:36:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x711a…e87f crypto 1486 markets active 5d ago coverage 44d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$120 (-1%) realized −$120 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate53%786W / 701L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day44.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$12
14 days−$13
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$140
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -4.2% -13.3% 61% 50% -18.1%
≤30d 398 -5.1% -14.2% 58% 46% -15.2%
≤90d 1487 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 36% -10.9%
all 1487 -10.7% -19.2% 53% 36% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.2% 36% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 10% -19.5%
15% -34.0% 5% -27.2%
20% -40.5% 3% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.9 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.49 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

44d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses786 / 701
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1487 / 1486
History coverage44d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day44.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1487 Trades
no open positions (221 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 36¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3059 history records