Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:01:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
71 0x710c…78ea sports 418 markets active 3d ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 12d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (249 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$5,658 (+2%) realized +$5,658 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -29% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -48% what you keep after slip
Net edge-48%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate38%256W / 422L
Whale WR24%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$852per market
Trades / day249.1pace
Fees−$4,034est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 13d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$2,234
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (249 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 373 -58.4% -62.3% 21% 17% -78.8%
≤30d 678 -29.2% -36.0% 38% 31% -58.7%
≤90d 678 -29.2% -36.0% 38% 31% -58.7%
all 678 -29.2% -36.0% 38% 31% -58.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover249.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.0% 31% -58.7%
10% -42.1% 23% -62.6%
15% ← realistic here -47.7% 18% -66.2%
20% -52.8% 13% -69.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -55% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -29% · $-wt -55% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 24% (≥$1,522) big bets weaker
Persistence
early +7% → late -66% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$379 vs −$1,203 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.19 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,658
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses256 / 422
Whale WR (big bets)24%
Est. fees paid−$4,034
Open positions0
Markets (closed)678 / 418
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$852
Trades / day249.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 678 Trades
no open positions (389 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Guangzhou Loong Lions Jun 17 $5 +$15 +335%
ITF Bol: Miriam Bulgaru vs Iva Primorac Jun 17 $1,128 −$1,128 -100%
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthel Jun 17 $1,515 −$1,630 -108%
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 17 $1,186 −$1,186 -100%
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tu Jun 17 $1,989 −$1,989 -100%
Madrid Open: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Blockx Jun 17 $326 −$326 -100%
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Zhizhen Jun 17 $2,424 −$2,424 -100%
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom Jun 17 $351 −$494 -141%
Santos: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Ryan Dickerson Jun 17 $1,685 −$1,685 -100%
Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon Jun 17 $714 −$714 -100%
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida A Jun 17 $62 −$62 -100%
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Vilius Gaubas Jun 17 $176 −$119 -68%
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Campinas: Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias Jun 17 $80 −$56 -69%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekic Jun 17 $27 −$13 -51%
Cordoba: Miguel Tobon vs Andrea Collarini Jun 17 $108 −$108 -100%
Parma: Priscilla Hon vs Susan Bandecchi Jun 17 $5,036 −$5,036 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 17 $181 −$181 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Jun 17 $2,046 −$2,046 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry Jun 17 $2,405 −$2,405 -100%
Paris: Chloe Paquet vs Maya Joint Jun 17 $2,718 −$2,718 -100%
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Martin Landaluce Jun 17 $41 −$32 -77%
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stag Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Arthur Gea vs Patrick Kypson Jun 17 $9 +$40 +452%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Nikoloz B Jun 17 $500 −$500 -100%
Madrid Open: Xinyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 17 $107 −$107 -100%
BMW Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs David Goffin Jun 17 $192 −$180 -94%
ITF Wichita: Reese Brantmeier vs Clervie Ngounoue Jun 17 $336 −$336 -100%
Madrid: Polina Kudermetova vs Lisa Pigato Jun 17 $42 −$15 -36%
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Jun 17 $89 −$89 -100%
Centurion: Semen Pankin vs Eliakim Coulibaly Jun 17 $142 −$142 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic Jun 17 $3,705 −$3,705 -100%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragons Jun 17 $67 −$67 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Jun 17 $3,467 −$3,467 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Roun Jun 17 $223 −$223 -100%
Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry Jun 17 $3,250 −$3,250 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wang Jun 17 $1,184 −$1,803 -152%
Roland Garros WTA: Clara Tauson vs Daria Snigur Jun 17 $2,818 −$2,818 -100%
Cervia: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Mitchell Krueger Jun 17 $1,616 −$1,616 -100%
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan Jun 17 $1,588 −$1,588 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl Jun 17 $350 −$350 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 17 $2,003 −$2,003 -100%
Istanbul: Maxim Mrva vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 17 $4,042 −$4,042 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Jun 17 $2,937 −$2,937 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 17 $389 −$389 -100%
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Alice Robbe vs Harmon Jun 17 $16 −$9 -56%
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fomin Jun 17 $8,102 −$8,102 -100%
ITF Pelham: Savannah Broadus vs Amelia Honer Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Giulio Zeppier Jun 17 $36 −$19 -52%
Istanbul: Benjamin Hassan vs Filip Jianu Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 24¢ $11 3d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 55¢ $507 3d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 55¢ $412 3d
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League BUY Miami Heretics 56¢ $17 3d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 79¢ $502 3d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 75¢ $504 3d
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 18¢ $56 3d
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 50¢ $508 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 62¢ $94 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 68¢ $205 3d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Alicia Dudeney vs Yulia Putintseva BUY Alicia Dudeney 98¢ $500 3d
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Felix Balshaw 52¢ $507 3d
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Ilbirs eSports 36¢ $165 3d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 65¢ $505 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 66¢ $127 3d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 66¢ $505 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY David Jorda Sanchis 44¢ $32 3d
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 20¢ $512 3d
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 39¢ $509 3d
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 73¢ $503 3d
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 26¢ $511 3d
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 47¢ $60 3d
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan BUY Elina Avanesyan 85¢ $92 3d
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic BUY Sergi Perez Contri 97¢ $95 3d
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic BUY Sergi Perez Contri 95¢ $53 3d
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 33¢ $170 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 27¢ $511 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 27¢ $511 3d
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Ivan Biletic BUY Ivan Biletic 14¢ $150 3d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 83¢ $502 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records