trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 50% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 43% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 16 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 56% | 0% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.0% | 0% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 0% | -29.4% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 0% | -36.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 19 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $7 | $0 | +5% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $5 | −$1 | -13% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $160-170m opening weekend? | May 28 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 10 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | May 08 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.10 in March? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | +2% |