Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:00:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70ef…09de
crypto · 838 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,020 -87%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,020 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,020
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses498 / 631
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1129 / 838
History coverage5d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day583.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,385
7 days−$4,020
14 days−$4,020
30 days−$4,020
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$11 -7164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$8 -129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$17 -115%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$324
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-32.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1129 -25.9% -32.9% 44% 41% -51.4%
≤30d 1129 -25.9% -32.9% 44% 41% -51.4%
≤90d 1129 -25.9% -32.9% 44% 41% -51.4%
all 1129 -25.9% -32.9% 44% 41% -51.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover583.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.9% 41% -51.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.4% 33% -56.1%
15% -45.2% 26% -60.3%
20% -50.6% 19% -64.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records