Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:00:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x70da…073a crypto 845 markets active 3d ago coverage 47d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 46d only
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$472 (-5%) realized −$472 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate55%462W / 384L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day60.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$70
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$576
other 0% −$41
tech 0% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 -17.1% -25.0% 52% 48% -23.3%
≤30d 202 -6.2% -15.1% 58% 56% -13.5%
≤90d 846 -11.7% -20.1% 55% 21% -15.6%
all 846 -11.7% -20.1% 55% 21% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover60.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 21% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 17% -23.6%
15% -34.7% 13% -31.0%
20% -41.1% 10% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.45 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

47d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$472
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses462 / 384
Open positions0
Markets (closed)846 / 845
History coverage47d ⚠
Avg bet$11
Trades / day60.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 846 Trades
no open positions (181 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$9 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-1 BUY 25¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records