Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70d3…d226
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day9.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$18
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -15%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 12 $19 −$2 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$16
politics 34% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $16 1h
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL Yes 15¢ $17 1h
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 15¢ $19 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-73.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -71.0% -73.8% 0% 0% -52.5%
≤30d 4 -71.0% -73.8% 0% 0% -52.5%
≤90d 4 -71.0% -73.8% 0% 0% -52.5%
all 4 -71.0% -73.8% 0% 0% -52.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -73.8% 0% -52.5%
10% -76.3% 0% -57.1%
15% -78.6% 0% -61.2%
20% -80.7% 0% -65.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records