Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:47:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70d3…1f1f
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$14
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions10
Markets (closed)2 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 10 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 27¢ 25¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-27%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmoh Michael Mmoh 43¢ 18¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 50% −$2
crypto 28% −$15
sports 22% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-96.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -95.8% -96.2% 0% 0% -94.9%
≤30d 2 -95.8% -96.2% 0% 0% -94.9%
≤90d 2 -95.8% -96.2% 0% 0% -94.9%
all 2 -95.8% -96.2% 0% 0% -94.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -96.2% 0% -94.9%
10% -96.6% 0% -95.4%
15% -96.9% 0% -95.8%
20% -97.2% 0% -96.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.86 · official $64.87 (match) · 15 history records