Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70ce…2925
crypto · 36 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$61 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses11 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)33 / 36
History coverage7d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day29.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$79
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 90¢ 93¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 92¢ 94¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 100¢ 97¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 14? Jun 14 $20 −$1 -7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $20 $0 -1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? Jun 14 $20 −$2 -10%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 13 $16 +$1 +6%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 13 $21 +$2 +12%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 13? Jun 13 $20 −$5 -27%
Will Solana dip to $60 on June 12? Jun 13 $20 $0 -1%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 −$2 -12%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $21 +$10 +47%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 +$3 +27%
Will Solana dip to $45 on June 10? Jun 10 $10 $0 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? Jun 10 $7 $0 +4%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 8? Jun 09 $2 $0 -1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 -2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 8? Jun 08 $3 $0 -3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 7? Jun 08 $10 $0 -1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 7? Jun 08 $3 $0 -1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 7? Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $2 $0 -5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $4 −$1 -14%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 7? Jun 07 $10 −$1 -10%
Will Solana reach $70 on June 7? Jun 07 $7 $0 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$78
sports 9% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 14? SELL No 94¢ $19 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL No 93¢ $0 3h
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $22 7h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 98¢ $20 8h
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $20 9h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 81¢ $1 9h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Solana reach $70 on June 13? SELL No 88¢ $0 12h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? SELL No 96¢ $17 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-22.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -14.3% -22.5% 33% 12% -26.1%
≤30d 33 -14.3% -22.5% 33% 12% -26.1%
≤90d 33 -14.3% -22.5% 33% 12% -26.1%
all 33 -14.3% -22.5% 33% 12% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.5% 12% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.9% 6% -33.2%
15% -36.7% 3% -39.7%
20% -42.9% 0% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.56 · official $32.56 (match) · 224 history records