trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -83.1% | -84.7% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -83.1% | -84.7% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -83.1% | -84.7% | 0% | 0% | -69.7% |
| all | 18 | +43.2% | +29.6% | 17% | 17% | -75.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +29.6% | 17% | -75.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +17.2% | 17% | -78.1% |
| 15% | +5.9% | 17% | -80.2% |
| 20% | -4.5% | 17% | -82.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $74 | $52 | −$22 (-29%) |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-17%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 18 | $108 | −$72 | -66% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 04 | $1,990 | −$1,976 | -99% |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 06 | $7,975 | −$7,975 | -100% |
| Will Neymar leave Al-Hilal? | Mar 16 | $1,326 | −$1,326 | -100% |
| Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1? | Jan 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday? | Jan 24 | $521 | +$386 | +74% |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? | Jan 21 | $100 | +$190 | +190% |
| Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1? | Jan 21 | $3 | +$47 | +1568% |
| Will Trump issue 15-19 executive orders on Day 1? | Jan 21 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1? | Jan 21 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Jan 21 | $12,094 | −$7,166 | -59% |
| Trump deportation executive order on Day 1? | Jan 20 | $17 | −$3 | -15% |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? | Jan 20 | $175 | −$68 | -39% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Jan 10 | $2,566 | −$528 | -21% |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | Dec 29 | $3,040 | −$1,598 | -53% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 14 | $7,085 | −$6,985 | -99% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December? | Nov 07 | $7 | $0 | -2% |