trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 35% | 35% | -19.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 35% | 35% | -19.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 35% | 35% | -19.3% |
| all | 17 | -17.3% | -25.2% | 35% | 35% | -19.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.2% | 35% | -19.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -32.4% | 29% | -27.1% |
| 15% | -38.9% | 29% | -34.1% |
| 20% | -44.9% | 24% | -40.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Under | 56¢ | 52¢ | $112 | $105 | −$7 (-6%) |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $60 | $60 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | Yes | 22¢ | 21¢ | $54 | $51 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $29 | $28 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $40 | $28 | −$12 (-31%) |
| Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | Yes | 16¢ | 13¢ | $12 | $10 | −$2 (-19%) |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+50%) |
| Netanyahu out by July 31? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $2 | $1 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $97 | −$96 | -99% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $154 | −$106 | -69% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round | Jun 21 | $59 | +$40 | +68% |
| HSBC Championships: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy Paul | Jun 21 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Eala | Jun 21 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $45 | +$55 | +123% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof | Jun 21 | $73 | +$32 | +44% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $87 | −$13 | -15% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $134 | −$44 | -32% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $34 | +$66 | +197% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $56 | +$44 | +79% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 21 | $325 | +$47 | +15% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |