Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:30:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70b0…65c8
crypto · 298 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,122 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,122 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,122
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses94 / 251
Est. fees paid−$76
Open positions0
Markets (closed)345 / 298
History coverage36d
Avg bet$65
Trades / day92.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 345 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,044
7 days−$1,063
14 days−$2,484
30 days−$3,056
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on May 31? Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 11? Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? Down 31¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Ireland 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - VCT Pacific Gro Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 7? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5? Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 6? Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings Jun 13 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $181 +$41 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $88 −$61 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $253 +$67 +26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 70% −$2,048
sports 29% −$948
finance 1% +$11
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $9 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $7 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $19 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-48.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -66.9% -70.1% 16% 14% -42.2%
≤30d 238 -39.1% -44.9% 29% 24% -31.2%
≤90d 345 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 23% -31.3%
all 345 -42.5% -48.0% 27% 23% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -48.0% 23% -31.3%
10% ← realistic here -52.9% 18% -37.9%
15% -57.5% 12% -43.9%
20% -61.7% 10% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records