Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:01:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70a5…29d2
crypto · 11 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$31 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses6 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)11 / 11
History coverage1d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 11 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $13 +$9 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$14 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$14 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$14 +131%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$17 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +8.2% -2.1% 55% 55% +7.7%
≤30d 11 +8.2% -2.1% 55% 55% +7.7%
≤90d 11 +8.2% -2.1% 55% 55% +7.7%
all 11 +8.2% -2.1% 55% 55% +7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.1% 55% +7.7%
10% -11.4% 55% -2.6%
15% -20.0% 45% -12.0%
20% -27.8% 45% -20.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 27 history records