Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:08:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x70a4…f00a
crypto · 816 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$399 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$399 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$399
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses658 / 158
Open positions0
Markets (closed)816 / 816
History coverage67d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day20.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 816 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$32
7 days+$17
14 days+$10
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$402
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 161 -1.9% -11.3% 82% 37% -8.9%
≤30d 201 -3.3% -12.5% 82% 35% -10.0%
≤90d 816 -2.2% -11.6% 81% 37% -9.8%
all 816 -2.2% -11.6% 81% 37% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 37% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 19% -18.4%
15% -27.7% 11% -26.3%
20% -34.8% 6% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2268 history records