Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T10:36:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x709c…0f01 crypto 917 markets active 1h ago coverage 29d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 28d only
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$24 (+0%) realized +$24 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate62%567W / 350L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day83.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days−$35
14 days−$83
30 days−$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -12.1% -20.5% 49% 33% -16.7%
≤30d 917 -7.9% -16.7% 62% 15% -11.3%
≤90d 917 -7.9% -16.7% 62% 15% -11.3%
all 917 -7.9% -16.7% 62% 15% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 15% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 9% -19.8%
15% -32.0% 6% -27.5%
20% -38.6% 6% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -7% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

29d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses567 / 350
Open positions0
Markets (closed)917 / 917
History coverage29d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day83.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 917 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$2 -25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $4 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records