Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:19:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x707f…e00f crypto 1795 markets active 20h ago coverage 97d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 97d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$19 (+1%) realized +$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate87%1569W / 227L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day19.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$9
14 days−$6
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$4
sports 0% $0
other 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 287 +2.2% -7.6% 92% 35% -6.9%
≤30d 1323 -0.4% -9.9% 88% 45% -10.0%
≤90d 1638 -0.0% -9.6% 88% 50% -9.6%
all 1796 +0.0% -9.5% 87% 48% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover19.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 48% -9.6%
10% -18.2% 7% -18.2%
15% -26.1% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.14 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

97d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1569 / 227
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1796 / 1795
History coverage97d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day19.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1796 Trades
no open positions (194 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? Jun 17 $2 $0 +13%
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? Jun 15 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? BUY No 88¢ $2 19h
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia? BUY No 90¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records