Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:44:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x707c…a478
crypto · 591 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,626 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,626 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,626
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses436 / 155
Open positions0
Markets (closed)591 / 591
History coverage59d
Avg bet$159
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$448
7 days−$706
14 days−$1,715
30 days−$1,789
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $137 $0 −$137 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $122 $0 −$122 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$238 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $201 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$17 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $293 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $158 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $184 −$84 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET Jun 13 $339 −$139 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $191 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET Jun 13 $174 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $91 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $86 +$14 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $285 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $101 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $187 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $277 −$177 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $369 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $187 +$13 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $462 −$162 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4AM ET Jun 11 $390 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $85 +$15 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $189 +$11 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $199 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $177 +$23 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $197 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10AM ET Jun 10 $294 −$94 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $154 +$46 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $196 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $197 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $101 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $385 −$85 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12AM ET Jun 10 $400 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $390 +$10 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,626
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $56 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $40 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $86 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $83 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $194 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $110 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $48 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $193 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $55 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $39 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $68 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $70 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $70 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $94 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $84 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $12 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $95 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $100 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $74 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $51 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $89 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $91 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $93 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $99 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 188 -0.3% -9.8% 80% 19% -11.0%
≤30d 445 -1.9% -11.3% 80% 26% -11.4%
≤90d 591 -6.1% -15.1% 74% 28% -12.1%
all 591 -6.1% -15.1% 74% 28% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 28% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 11% -20.5%
15% -30.6% 7% -28.2%
20% -37.4% 4% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1852 history records