trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -14.8% | -22.9% | 33% | 33% | +17.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +164.2% | +139.0% | 33% | 33% | +29.4% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +68.2% | +52.2% | 39% | 32% | +8.8% |
| all | 29 | +65.9% | +50.1% | 38% | 31% | +8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +50.1% | 31% | +8.6% |
| 10% | +35.7% | 31% | -1.8% |
| 15% | +22.6% | 28% | -11.3% |
| 20% | +10.6% | 28% | -20.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $80 | $82 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $10 | +$4 (+80%) |
| Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $1 | −$3 (-70%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$6 | -20% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $62 | +$47 | +76% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 16 | $96 | −$9 | -10% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United | Jun 13 | $3 | +$128 | +4140% |
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | Jun 11 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | Jun 10 | $17 | −$3 | -20% |
| Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Jun 08 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | Jun 04 | $16 | +$13 | +86% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $39 | +$67 | +171% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31? | May 21 | $15 | +$35 | +232% |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 20 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | May 20 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027? | May 19 | $31 | +$17 | +56% |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? | May 18 | $19 | +$13 | +71% |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | May 17 | $24 | −$3 | -13% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 13 | $5 | +$3 | +61% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | May 06 | $93 | +$5 | +6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 06 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Chirayu Rana fired? | May 01 | $58 | +$14 | +24% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 08 | $184 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Apr 08 | $190 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will BNB dip to $600 in January? | Jan 31 | $13 | $0 | -0% |