Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T08:28:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x707a…8d9f crypto 1664 markets active 1h ago coverage 35d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 34d only
✗ bot/MM pace (55 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$110 (+0%) realized +$110 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate94%1572W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day54.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$84
14 days−$90
30 days−$316
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$337
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (55 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -9.4% -18.1% 78% 17% -15.9%
≤30d 1497 -0.9% -10.3% 97% 0% -10.9%
≤90d 1664 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 2% -10.7%
all 1664 -1.0% -10.5% 94% 2% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover54.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 2% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.8% 0% -27.0%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$7 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

35d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$110
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses1572 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1664 / 1664
History coverage35d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day54.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1664 Trades
no open positions (35 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 10 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $32 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records