trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -9.2% | -17.8% | 50% | 50% | +3.6% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 56% | 56% | +13.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 56% | 56% | +13.1% |
| all | 21 | -9.3% | -18.0% | 48% | 48% | -23.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.0% | 48% | -23.7% |
| 10% | -25.8% | 38% | -31.0% |
| 15% | -33.0% | 38% | -37.6% |
| 20% | -39.6% | 33% | -43.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 73¢ | 74¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $25 | +$3 | +12% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $41 | +$9 | +21% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13 | +$8 | +57% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $11 | −$3 | -29% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $25 | +$19 | +73% |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Jan 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Bucks | Jan 03 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Jan 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | Jan 02 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Kings | Jan 02 | $30 | +$12 | +41% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Jan 02 | $40 | +$30 | +75% |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | Jan 01 | $220 | −$220 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Lakers | Dec 31 | $60 | +$45 | +75% |
| 76ers vs. Grizzlies | Dec 31 | $67 | +$59 | +88% |
| Nuggets vs. Heat | Dec 30 | $220 | −$56 | -26% |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors | Dec 30 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Clippers | Dec 29 | $80 | +$120 | +150% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 73¢ | $25 | 1h |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | SELL Yes | 99¢ | $28 | 20h |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | BUY Yes | 88¢ | $25 | 20h |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY Yes | 42¢ | $31 | 22h |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 82¢ | $41 | 24h |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | BUY Yes | 7¢ | $1 | 28h |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | BUY Yes | 48¢ | $5 | 3d |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY Yes | 57¢ | $10 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Spurs | 5¢ | $0 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 20¢ | $2 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | SELL Knicks | 57¢ | $20 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 17¢ | $1 | 3d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 24¢ | $2 | 4d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 37¢ | $3 | 4d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Knicks | 36¢ | $5 | 5d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL Spurs | 42¢ | $5 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL Knicks | 16¢ | $3 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 5¢ | $1 | 6d |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | BUY Yes | 37¢ | $10 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 87¢ | $10 | 6d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 57¢ | $25 | 9d |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | BUY Clippers | 53¢ | $20 | 165d |
| Hornets vs. Bucks | BUY Hornets | 72¢ | $25 | 165d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 73¢ | $50 | 166d |
| Thunder vs. Warriors | BUY Warriors | 24¢ | $25 | 166d |
| Celtics vs. Kings | BUY Celtics | 71¢ | $30 | 166d |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | BUY 76ers | 57¢ | $40 | 167d |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | BUY Pelicans | 38¢ | $20 | 168d |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | BUY Pelicans | 47¢ | $100 | 168d |
| Pelicans vs. Bulls | BUY Pelicans | 47¢ | $50 | 168d |