Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7077…4467
sports · 23 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses6 / 17
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage3d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day49.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $46 −$6 -12%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $96 −$2 -2%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$2 -18%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $36 −$1 -2%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $51 −$6 -12%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $10 +$1 +11%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $5 $0 +0%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +11%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -86%
Will Angola vs. Central African Republic end in a draw? Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
Will Angola win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 $0 -1%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -18%
Will Central African Republic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $10 $0 -4%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 82% −$16
other 18% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 37¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 44¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 48¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 46¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 47¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 43¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 46¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 41¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 32¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 24¢ $3 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 39¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 15¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 15¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 15¢ $0 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 20¢ $5 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 80¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Elena Rybakina 80¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter SELL Katie Boulter 19¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 24¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 87¢ $6 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 78¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 72¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 66¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $4 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 30¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 27¢ $5 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 26¢ $5 3h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 20¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -7.3% -16.1% 26% 9% -14.7%
≤30d 23 -7.3% -16.1% 26% 9% -14.7%
≤90d 23 -7.3% -16.1% 26% 9% -14.7%
all 23 -7.3% -16.1% 26% 9% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 9% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 0% -22.8%
15% -31.5% 0% -30.3%
20% -38.2% 0% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 158 history records