Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7063…e14c
crypto · 55 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses29 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage9d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day26.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 55 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$30
14 days−$32
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$15 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$6 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$14 +124%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$3 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +90%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$23 +518%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$19 +407%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 7m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -5.6% -14.6% 55% 38% -15.5%
≤30d 55 -7.9% -16.7% 53% 36% -15.8%
≤90d 55 -7.9% -16.7% 53% 36% -15.8%
all 55 -7.9% -16.7% 53% 36% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 36% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.6% 25% -23.9%
15% -31.9% 16% -31.2%
20% -38.6% 11% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records