Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:56:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7061…9233
crypto · 521 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,799 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8,339 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$8,339
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses271 / 229
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions21
Markets (closed)500 / 521
History coverage88d
Avg bet$153
Trades / day36.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 21 History 500 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$225
7 days−$1,022
14 days−$5,324
30 days−$6,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 17¢ 7¢ $17 $7 −$10 (-59%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 14? Yes 15¢ 43¢ $2 $6 +$4 (+187%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? Yes 25¢ 40¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+62%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 15? Yes 14¢ 22¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+61%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? Yes 22¢ 32¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+48%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? Yes 18¢ 24¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+40%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14? Yes 21¢ 28¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+36%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 15? Yes 33¢ 40¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 15? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 15? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 15? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 15? Yes 28¢ 26¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-19%)
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 15? Yes 34¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-28%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 54¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15? Yes 34¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 40¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $65 +$15 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15? Jun 14 $2 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -38%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? Jun 14 $2 −$1 -25%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $444 −$167 -38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $209 −$71 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $364 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $246 −$91 -37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $23 +$15 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $126 +$15 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $322 −$201 -62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $97 −$15 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $339 −$23 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $229 −$69 -30%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $61 −$6 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $46 −$17 -37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $241 −$23 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $674 +$44 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $15 −$5 -36%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $11 −$6 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $783 +$70 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $21 −$3 -17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $16 −$8 -49%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8? Jun 08 $4 +$4 +114%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $123 −$12 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $92 −$13 -15%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $26 −$16 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $692 −$435 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $695 −$597 -86%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $52 −$49 -93%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $163 +$14 +9%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $479 −$81 -17%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $139 −$101 -73%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,143 −$75 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $591 −$55 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $2,014 −$781 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 5? Jun 04 $6 −$1 -17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $4,827 −$753 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Jun 04 $195 −$91 -47%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4? Jun 03 $43 −$14 -32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $340 +$25 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $759 −$473 -62%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $457 −$158 -35%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 3? Jun 02 $73 −$41 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $259 −$115 -44%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $46 −$18 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$8,386
other 11% +$38
weather 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 17¢ $18 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 46¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 15? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 15? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 5h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? SELL Yes 75¢ $80 6h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15? SELL Yes 14¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15? SELL Yes 18¢ $1 7h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 15? BUY Yes 44¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 15? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 7h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 15? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 27¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 8h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 15? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? BUY Yes 18¢ $2 9h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 14? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 10h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 15? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 11h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -18.8% -26.5% 22% 12% -27.0%
≤30d 101 -25.7% -32.7% 21% 12% -27.2%
≤90d 500 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 31% -19.0%
all 500 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 31% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 31% -19.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 17% -26.7%
15% -32.6% 11% -33.8%
20% -39.2% 8% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.35 · official $52.35 (match) · 3500 history records