Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:14:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.0
score
70 0x7060…74b4 sports 10 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$147 (+1%) realized +$147 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%10W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,487per market
Trades / day32.2pace
Fees−$3est.
Kalshi-fit60%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 63% +$143
sports 37% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤30d 10 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.3%
≤90d 10 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.3%
all 10 +1.6% -8.1% 100% 0% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 0% -8.3%
10% -16.9% 0% -17.1%
15% ← realistic here -24.9% 0% -25.1%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 25% · top 2 47% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
4.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$20 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$147
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses10 / 0
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)10 / 10
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1,487
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit60%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 10 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $1,704 +$50 +3%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics Jun 18 $800 +$30 +4%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 18 $4 $0 +2%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $3,519 +$21 +1%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 18 $792 +$7 +1%
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 18 $1,885 $0 +0%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 18 $990 +$9 +1%
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 18 $992 +$7 +1%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $1,777 +$30 +2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $2,405 +$42 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 91¢ $14 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 90¢ $87 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 97¢ $3 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $400 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $3 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $203 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $41 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $50 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $5 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 97¢ $94 1h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 98¢ $800 1h
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners BUY Baltimore Orioles 98¢ $4 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? SELL No 100¢ $3,540 15h
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 96¢ $800 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $795 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $800 15h
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $799 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs SELL Chicago Cubs 100¢ $952 15h
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves SELL San Francisco Giants 100¢ $999 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $800 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $799 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $215 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $99 15h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY No 99¢ $10 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs SELL Chicago Cubs 98¢ $933 16h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Chicago Cubs 98¢ $6 17h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 100¢ $999 17h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Chicago Cubs 99¢ $871 17h
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Chicago Cubs 99¢ $22 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records