trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $35 | $31 | −$4 (-12%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $11 | $12 | +$1 (+13%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 8? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$3 | -17% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $9 | +$6 | +70% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $11 | +$24 | +216% |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | +5% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$6 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $27 | +$36 | +133% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $8 | −$6 | -66% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $14 | −$6 | -46% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $7 | −$1 | -12% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Ju | Jun 08 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 8? | Jun 08 | $4 | −$2 | -46% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 8? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$1 | -39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8? | Jun 08 | $3 | −$2 | -95% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 22% | 17% | +15.4% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 22% | 17% | +15.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 22% | 17% | +15.4% |
| all | 18 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 22% | 17% | +15.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.7% | 17% | +15.4% |
| 10% | -27.3% | 17% | +4.3% |
| 15% | -34.4% | 17% | -5.8% |
| 20% | -40.8% | 17% | -15.0% |