Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7058…3505
politics · 9 markets active 583d ago
0.0score
+$1,849,164 +95%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,849,164 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY politics specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,849,164
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses6 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage29d
Avg bet$215,222
Trades / day77.4
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House Nov 27 $123,282 +$230,366 +187%
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi Nov 12 $1,257,829 +$1,752,601 +139%
Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? Nov 11 $377 +$296 +79%
Trump wins every swing state? Nov 11 $32,000 +$68,000 +212%
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? Nov 07 $176,000 −$154,592 -88%
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? Nov 07 $102,000 −$102,000 -100%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $127,892 +$72,108 +56%
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $20,615 −$20,615 -100%
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Nov 06 $97,000 +$3,000 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 100% +$1,849,164
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $6 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $161 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $58 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $19 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $36 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $446 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $28 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $260 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $310 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $66 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $130 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $89 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $94 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $84 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $390 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $84 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $240 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $6 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $13 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $520 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 13¢ $45 583d
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? BUY Yes 12¢ $443 583d
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? SELL Yes 30¢ $1,236 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $24,125 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $66 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $1,983 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $200 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $806 583d
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Electi BUY Yes 50¢ $200 583d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+29.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 9 +43.2% +29.6% 67% 56% +76.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +29.6% 56% +76.8%
10% +17.2% 56% +59.9%
15% ← realistic here +5.9% 56% +44.5%
20% -4.5% 56% +30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2301 history records