Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T22:23:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
70 0x703b…e371 sports 551 markets active 2h ago coverage 57d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 56d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (54 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$966 (+1%) realized +$966 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate50%274W / 274L
Whale WR53%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$241per market
Trades / day53.8pace
Fees−$1,977est.
Kalshi-fit97%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 57d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$3,157
other 0% −$479
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (54 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-2.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 107 -13.8% -22.0% 32% 32% -37.8%
≤30d 297 +8.1% -2.2% 46% 40% -25.2%
≤90d 548 +7.6% -2.6% 50% 44% -12.3%
all 548 +7.6% -2.6% 50% 44% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.6% 44% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.9% 40% -20.7%
15% -20.4% 38% -28.3%
20% -28.2% 36% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 53% (≥$500) neutral
Persistence
early +7% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$184 vs −$198 · ×0.93 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

57d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$966
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses274 / 274
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$1,977
Open positions0
Markets (closed)548 / 551
History coverage57d ⚠
Avg bet$241
Trades / day53.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 548 Trades
no open positions (130 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 23 $1,080 +$547 +51%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 23 $3,070 −$3,070 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy - Game 2 Winner Jun 23 $712 +$96 +14%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Jun 23 $1,510 −$1,508 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 3 Winner Jun 23 $133 −$133 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner Jun 23 $1,770 −$1,768 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy - Game 1 Winner Jun 23 $110 −$110 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner Jun 23 $406 −$406 -100%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Q Jun 23 $346 −$252 -73%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner Jun 23 $207 +$143 +69%
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner Jun 23 $333 −$2 -0%
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winner Jun 23 $607 −$607 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Clos Jun 23 $35 −$35 -100%
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winner Jun 23 $215 −$215 -100%
Spread: France (-3.5) Jun 23 $205 +$250 +122%
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 23 $220 −$220 -100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 22 $380 +$180 +47%
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $222 −$222 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Cl Jun 22 $209 −$209 -100%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $82 +$721 +874%
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $58 +$42 +72%
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $373 −$373 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Jun 22 $661 −$661 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $304 +$422 +139%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $310 −$310 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Cl Jun 22 $500 −$500 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 1 Winner Jun 22 $16 −$16 -100%
Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster - Game 2 Winner Jun 22 $238 −$238 -100%
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $51 +$49 +96%
Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt? Jun 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 22 $99 +$101 +102%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $53 −$52 -98%
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 21 $57 +$43 +76%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 21 $65 −$65 -100%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $289 −$289 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $436 +$664 +152%
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia? Jun 21 $3 $0 +0%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $28 +$17 +59%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $515 −$515 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $133 +$167 +126%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $128 +$122 +96%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winner Jun 21 $165 −$165 -100%
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $79 −$79 -100%
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Jun 21 $12 +$77 +642%
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast As Jun 21 $170 −$170 -100%
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs Jun 20 $50 −$50 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playo Jun 20 $102 +$98 +96%
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 20 $90 −$90 -100%
Dota 2: Hive vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 20 $114 −$114 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY Ghana 66¢ $1,080 1h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 54¢ $919 3h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 54¢ $1,024 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 55¢ $1,128 4h
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Enjoy - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Spirit 100¢ $808 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $8 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $13 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $2 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $8 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $44 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 8¢ $20 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 11¢ $49 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 11¢ $1 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 11¢ $60 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $191 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $4 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $203 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $13 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $9 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $285 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $39 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $29 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $104 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $30 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 41¢ $3 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 52¢ $258 4h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 52¢ $2 5h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 54¢ $135 5h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 3 Winner BUY 4ikibamboni 0¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records