trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -35.5% | -41.7% | 50% | 50% | -23.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -18.2% | -26.0% | 64% | 43% | -37.4% |
| all | 21 | -16.6% | -24.5% | 71% | 29% | -35.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.5% | 29% | -35.1% |
| 10% | -31.8% | 24% | -41.3% |
| 15% | -38.3% | 14% | -47.0% |
| 20% | -44.4% | 5% | -52.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Uruguay | 66¢ | 66¢ | $160 | $161 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $205 | +$60 | +29% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $111 | +$32 | +29% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Jun 04 | $104 | −$103 | -99% |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | May 28 | $66 | −$65 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $43 | +$19 | +44% |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play | May 13 | $139 | −$138 | -99% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 13 | $30 | +$20 | +67% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | May 06 | $11 | +$1 | +7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | May 06 | $11 | +$2 | +19% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in Febru | May 06 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting? | May 06 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | May 06 | $61 | +$29 | +48% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 28 | $91 | −$88 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 17 | $66 | −$64 | -98% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28? | Mar 05 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 05 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)? | Mar 05 | $25 | $0 | +2% |
| Clavicular in jail by January 31? | Feb 07 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January? | Feb 07 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | Jan 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | Jan 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |