Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7032…41f3
sports · 41 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43,279 -31%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$41,030 · open −$2,249
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$29
Realized−$41,030
Unrealized−$2,249
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses16 / 24
Whale WR (big bets)30%
Est. fees paid−$2,091
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3,362
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,835
7 days−$43,367
14 days−$36,508
30 days−$41,030
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 40¢ $2,277 $29 −$2,249 (-99%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 41¢ $2,831 $0 −$2,831 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 54¢ $7,039 $0 −$7,039 (-100%)
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Athletics 46¢ $2,498 $0 −$2,498 (-100%)
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Daniel Merida Aguilar 50¢ $2,796 $0 −$2,796 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 53¢ $5,743 $0 −$5,743 (-100%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 48¢ $1,898 $0 −$1,898 (-100%)
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Katie Volynets 55¢ $7,500 $0 −$7,500 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Alexis Galarneau 35¢ $1,369 $0 −$1,369 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jenson Brooksby 38¢ $2,051 $0 −$2,051 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 41¢ $2,025 $0 −$2,025 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Qinwen Zheng 44¢ $2,803 $0 −$2,803 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ $2,788 $0 −$2,788 (-100%)
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Laslo Djere 42¢ $2,739 $0 −$2,739 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cincinnati Reds 44¢ $2,785 $0 −$2,785 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Corentin Moutet 43¢ $3,799 $0 −$3,799 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler McCartney Kessler 49¢ $1,410 $0 −$1,410 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner TYLOO 55¢ $2,815 $0 −$2,815 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Fabian Marozsan 64¢ $6,259 $0 −$6,259 (-100%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Lulu Sun 53¢ $8,469 $0 −$8,469 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 55¢ $2,975 $0 −$2,975 (-100%)
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Otto Virtanen 46¢ $2,122 $0 −$2,122 (-100%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Franco Agamenone 48¢ $1,389 $0 −$1,389 (-100%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jonas Forejtek 36¢ $2,098 $0 −$2,098 (-100%)
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Gabriel Diallo 51¢ $7,346 $0 −$7,346 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1,250 +$1,074 +86%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $1,928 −$1,898 -98%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $8,588 −$8,469 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5,010 +$3,578 +71%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $3,757 +$1,253 +33%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $1,699 +$2,059 +121%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $7,135 −$7,039 -99%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $3,090 +$4,046 +131%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $1,528 +$1,562 +102%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone Jun 10 $1,411 −$1,389 -98%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 10 $5,824 −$5,743 -99%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $2,107 +$3,726 +177%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $18 +$24 +130%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $2,156 −$2,122 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $3,864 −$3,799 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2,138 +$1,734 +81%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $2,138 −$2,098 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $1,395 −$1,369 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $2,089 −$2,051 -98%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $7,453 −$7,346 -99%
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 09 $7,602 −$7,500 -99%
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm Jun 09 $8,544 +$6,499 +76%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $4,687 +$3,875 +83%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $2,565 +$2,115 +82%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $1,432 −$1,410 -98%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 08 $2,851 −$2,803 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,853 −$2,815 -99%
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 08 $2,786 −$2,739 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $6,327 −$6,259 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,663 +$2,675 +73%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 07 $3,015 −$2,975 -99%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $2,831 −$2,788 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 07 $2,831 −$2,785 -98%
Perugia: Henrique Rocha vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Jun 07 $2,838 −$2,796 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2,881 −$2,831 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $2,906 +$3,440 +118%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $2,858 +$3,175 +111%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $2,869 +$3,684 +128%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres May 23 $2,538 −$2,498 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $2,060 −$2,025 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$43,279
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 40¢ $2,319 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 99¢ $2,323 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 52¢ $1,250 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 46¢ $5 2h
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 48¢ $1,923 2h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Lulu Sun 49¢ $23 21h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Lulu Sun 53¢ $8,565 21h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $8,588 22h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 58¢ $12 23h
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 57¢ $4,998 23h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 67¢ $5,010 23h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 49¢ $11 24h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 49¢ $3,746 24h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios SELL Sho Shimabukuro 99¢ $3,757 25h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 44¢ $6 25h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Sho Shimabukuro 44¢ $1,693 25h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Arthur Rinderknech 54¢ $14 26h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Arthur Rinderknech 54¢ $7,121 26h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan SELL Daniel Galan 100¢ $7,135 26h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Daniel Galan 41¢ $10 28h
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan BUY Daniel Galan 43¢ $3,080 28h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton SELL Alexander Shevchenko 100¢ $3,090 28h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton BUY Alexander Shevchenko 48¢ $4 29h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton BUY Alexander Shevchenko 49¢ $1,524 29h
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone BUY Franco Agamenone 48¢ $1,411 2d
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally BUY Emma Navarro 53¢ $5,824 2d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Hanne Vandewinkel 99¢ $5,833 2d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Hanne Vandewinkel 35¢ $2,078 2d
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Hanne Vandewinkel 41¢ $29 2d
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs SELL James McCabe 99¢ $42 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -23.2% -30.5% 39% 39% -41.2%
≤30d 40 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 40% -37.2%
≤90d 40 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 40% -37.2%
all 40 -19.9% -27.5% 40% 40% -37.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 40% -37.2%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 40% -43.2%
15% -40.8% 38% -48.7%
20% -46.6% 38% -53.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28.72 · official $28.72 (match) · 81 history records