Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7032…6bdc
crypto · 142 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,887 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,196 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$9,196
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses53 / 89
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 142
History coverage223d
Avg bet$219
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$173
7 days−$173
14 days−$378
30 days−$1,373
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 40¢ 0¢ $205 $0 −$205 (-100%)
Lightning vs. Canadiens Canadiens 49¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $214 $0 −$214 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $337 $0 −$337 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $212 $0 −$212 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Canadiens 30¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $285 $0 −$285 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $209 $0 −$209 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$75 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $132 −$125 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$109 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$82 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $210 −$200 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $219 −$209 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$77 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -97%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $498 +$224 +45%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $64 −$46 -73%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $222 +$340 +153%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $209 −$205 -98%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes May 30 $224 −$220 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 17 $140 −$134 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET May 17 $277 −$277 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 17 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 17 $210 −$95 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET May 17 $105 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET May 17 $104 +$130 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET May 17 $190 −$190 -100%
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? May 17 $347 +$137 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET May 17 $63 −$62 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 17 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 17 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET May 17 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 17 $2 +$4 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 17 $25 −$24 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Lightning vs. Canadiens May 01 $132 −$130 -98%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Apr 30 $54 +$79 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Apr 29 $549 −$549 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Apr 16 $200 −$187 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Apr 16 $200 −$194 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 16 $5 −$4 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Apr 16 $300 −$285 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 16 $351 −$337 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 16 $227 −$215 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Apr 16 $226 −$214 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Apr 16 $227 −$212 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Apr 16 $227 −$213 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Apr 16 $326 −$326 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Apr 16 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Apr 11 $178 −$178 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Apr 11 $226 −$226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Apr 11 $92 +$86 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Apr 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 71% −$5,091
sports 24% −$4,447
other 3% +$336
world 1% +$6
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $27 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $105 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $27 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $129 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -17.7% -25.5% 36% 36% -17.5%
≤30d 32 -38.5% -44.3% 25% 25% -39.9%
≤90d 135 -17.2% -25.1% 37% 33% -32.9%
all 142 -15.8% -23.8% 37% 34% -36.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.8% 34% -36.4%
10% -31.1% 32% -42.5%
15% -37.7% 31% -48.0%
20% -43.8% 27% -53.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 551 history records