Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x702c…b1e6
other · 190 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$1,459 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,225 · open +$126
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,340
Realized+$1,225
Unrealized+$126
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses127 / 47
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions16
Markets (closed)174 / 190
History coverage96d
Avg bet$133
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 16 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$269
14 days+$518
30 days+$968
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Over 90¢ 100¢ $279 $310 +$31 (+11%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $192 $177 −$16 (-8%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $136 $167 +$31 (+23%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 37¢ 70¢ $73 $140 +$67 (+92%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $107 $108 +$1 (+1%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $112 $96 −$16 (-14%)
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 62¢ $64 $62 −$2 (-2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $28 $51 +$24 (+86%)
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+2%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 65¢ 100¢ $32 $50 +$17 (+54%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $54 $45 −$9 (-17%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 22¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-41%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy) No 17¢ 48¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+191%)
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2? Down 35¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Jun 14 $143 −$6 -4%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 14 $146 +$4 +3%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $4 +$3 +62%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $17 +$14 +78%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 14 $94 $0 -0%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $50 +$5 +10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $50 +$4 +8%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $466 +$49 +10%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $8 $0 -3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? Jun 12 $29 +$15 +51%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $122 +$9 +7%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $55 +$5 +9%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $191 +$54 +28%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $302 +$3 +1%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $596 +$17 +3%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $81 +$19 +24%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $41 −$22 -54%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $8 +$7 +88%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $20 +$2 +11%
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $444 +$5 +1%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $24 +$1 +4%
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $21 −$1 -4%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $19 +$1 +5%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $257 +$12 +4%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $72 −$14 -20%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $12 −$9 -70%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June? Jun 10 $15 +$5 +33%
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $24 +$1 +4%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $23 +$2 +10%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $48 +$1 +2%
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $83 +$9 +10%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $195 +$10 +5%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $151 +$44 +29%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $6 −$4 -71%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? Jun 09 $30 +$8 +25%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 +$11 +109%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $100 +$7 +7%
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $11 +$1 +8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June? Jun 08 $85 +$3 +4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June? Jun 08 $298 +$74 +25%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June? Jun 08 $28 +$3 +12%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $123 +$137 +111%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June? Jun 05 $120 +$40 +33%
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $49 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$953
finance 30% +$164
sports 8% +$153
tech 8% +$59
crypto 1% +$28
weather 0% −$8
world 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $31 24m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 24m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $4 26m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $5 26m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 26m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 28m
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 86¢ $95 34m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 56¢ $10 47m
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 10¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 12¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 12¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $21 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 64¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 10¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 BUY Under 93¢ $50 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 BUY Under 97¢ $146 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 SELL Under 86¢ $83 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 72¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 66¢ $1 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 SELL Under 97¢ $94 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $184 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 BUY Under 97¢ $94 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 BUY Under 96¢ $93 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 BUY Under 96¢ $12 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 31¢ $5 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 65¢ $32 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 38¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 +1.3% -8.4% 72% 30% -4.1%
≤30d 99 +2.1% -7.6% 75% 31% -3.0%
≤90d 172 +2.7% -7.1% 74% 24% -4.3%
all 174 +1.7% -8.0% 73% 24% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 24% -4.9%
10% -16.8% 14% -14.0%
15% -24.9% 7% -22.3%
20% -32.2% 7% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,339.76 · official $1,339.78 (match) · 869 history records