trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +16.9% | +5.7% | 18% | 18% | -28.7% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 26% | 17% | -29.7% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 26% | 17% | -29.7% |
| all | 23 | -7.0% | -15.9% | 26% | 17% | -29.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 17% | -29.7% |
| 10% | -23.9% | 17% | -36.4% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 9% | -42.6% |
| 20% | -38.0% | 4% | -48.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $153 | +$71 | +46% |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $101 | −$48 | -48% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$64 | -63% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$42 | -41% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $102 | +$491 | +479% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $917 | −$128 | -14% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $4,162 | −$1,307 | -31% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $84 | −$84 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $350 | −$15 | -4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1,035 | −$395 | -38% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Jun 12 | $50 | −$1 | -1% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $1,901 | −$138 | -7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 03 | $11 | −$10 | -92% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 03 | $30 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | Jun 02 | $30 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | −$2 | -21% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$3 | +32% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $485 | −$480 | -99% |
| Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026? | Jun 01 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | May 30 | $82 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 29 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 29 | $41 | −$36 | -88% |