Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:48:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x701f…9bd0
sports · 341 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$125 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$150 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$150
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses190 / 150
Est. fees paid−$20
Open positions1
Markets (closed)340 / 341
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.0
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 340 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$133
14 days+$119
30 days+$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner G2 Esports 61¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner T1 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 57¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Vitality 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner FURIA 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Natus Vincere 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage NRG 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $70 −$18 -25%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $43 +$26 +61%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $15 +$9 +61%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 −$5 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$5 +82%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $17 −$17 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $7 +$3 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $7 +$2 +30%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $36 +$45 +123%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$4 +52%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $101 +$23 +23%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$7 +48%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $80 +$39 +49%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$4 -82%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$8 +89%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $17 +$23 +134%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $28 +$20 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $6 +$4 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$10 +188%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$6 +123%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 −$7 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $4 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $6 +$1 +10%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 +$5 +114%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $10 +$10 +109%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $4 +$10 +276%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $22 +$23 +104%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $59 +$6 +10%
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Top Esports Challenger (+1.5) Jun 09 $4 +$1 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$127
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 60¢ $53 11m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 79¢ $70 57m
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 58¢ $5 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Esports 62¢ $20 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $70 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 48¢ $5 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 60¢ $18 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 Esports 68¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $24 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 50¢ $20 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 60¢ $18 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 67¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $11 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 50¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 69¢ $10 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $3 5h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $14 5h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 59¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $6 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 59¢ $10 6h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 91¢ $9 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 69¢ $7 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 97¢ $81 7h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 40¢ $16 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $20 9h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 51¢ $5 10h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 65¢ $8 13h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 32¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +6.0% -4.1% 51% 48% +4.2%
≤30d 324 -5.0% -14.0% 56% 51% -0.4%
≤90d 340 -4.8% -13.9% 56% 51% -0.6%
all 340 -4.8% -13.9% 56% 51% -0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 51% -0.6%
10% -22.1% 44% -10.1%
15% -29.7% 35% -18.8%
20% -36.6% 25% -26.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 736 history records