Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x700f…a433
crypto · 907 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$521 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$521 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$521
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses507 / 781
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1288 / 907
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day333.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$778
7 days−$589
14 days−$521
30 days−$521
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -206%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$322
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-31.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1060 -32.6% -39.0% 35% 31% -16.4%
≤30d 1288 -24.4% -31.6% 39% 33% -14.1%
≤90d 1288 -24.4% -31.6% 39% 33% -14.1%
all 1288 -24.4% -31.6% 39% 33% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover333.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.6% 33% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -38.2% 30% -22.3%
15% -44.1% 24% -29.8%
20% -49.6% 15% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records