trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +113.7% | +93.3% | 50% | 50% | -11.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +55.4% | +40.6% | 36% | 36% | -35.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +40.4% | +27.1% | 38% | 38% | -34.0% |
| all | 68 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 44% | 44% | -19.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 44% | -19.0% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 41% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 34% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 31% | -40.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | No | 12¢ | 12¢ | $96 | $92 | −$4 (-4%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $75 | $74 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 58¢ | 82¢ | $12 | $16 | +$5 (+42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $448 | −$440 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $390 | +$410 | +105% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $285 | −$280 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $84 | +$96 | +114% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $438 | +$52 | +12% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $18 | +$182 | +982% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $66 | −$64 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 15 | $53 | −$2 | -3% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $591 | −$585 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $23 | −$23 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 08 | $22 | −$22 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 14 | $86 | +$14 | +16% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Apr 14 | $13 | −$13 | -98% |
| Suns vs. Heat | Mar 09 | $25 | +$25 | +100% |
| Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | Feb 10 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Rams vs. Bears | Jan 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Jan 13 | $46 | +$54 | +117% |
| Giants vs. Patriots | Dec 15 | $30 | +$10 | +32% |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Nov 17 | $18 | +$32 | +178% |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | Nov 17 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 10 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | Nov 03 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Rangers | Oct 23 | $136 | +$54 | +40% |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning | Oct 23 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Jets vs. Islanders | Oct 13 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | Oct 07 | $58 | +$81 | +138% |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers | Oct 07 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Tigers vs. Guardians | Sep 30 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Sep 25 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Guardians vs. Tigers | Sep 22 | $53 | +$67 | +127% |
| Lions vs. Ravens | Sep 22 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| Cubs vs. Pirates | Sep 16 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Buccaneers vs. Texans | Sep 15 | $138 | −$138 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Bears | Sep 15 | $270 | +$230 | +85% |
| Cowboys vs. Eagles | Sep 08 | $240 | +$60 | +25% |
| Appalachian State vs. Charlotte | Sep 04 | $195 | +$110 | +56% |
| Boise State vs. South Florida | Aug 29 | $34 | +$66 | +194% |
| Bengals vs. Commanders | Aug 18 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Aug 18 | $75 | +$85 | +113% |
| Phillies vs. Reds | Aug 11 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Astros vs. Marlins | Aug 04 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Jul 30 | $8 | +$7 | +79% |
| Tigers vs. Pirates | Jul 30 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Jul 21 | $11 | +$4 | +33% |
| Kings vs. Cavaliers | Jul 16 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Red Sox vs. Nationals | Jul 14 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Dodgers vs. Brewers | Jul 14 | $4 | +$6 | +138% |
| Bulls vs. Pacers | Jul 14 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Rockets | Jul 14 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Orioles | Jul 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 47¢ | $76 | 1h |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY No | 12¢ | $99 | 1h |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY Yes | 58¢ | $12 | 1h |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY No | 40¢ | $448 | 15h |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY No | 48¢ | $390 | 38h |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY No | 35¢ | $285 | 3d |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 89¢ | $438 | 4d |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 46¢ | $84 | 4d |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY Yes | 16¢ | $66 | 4d |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY No | 9¢ | $18 | 4d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 51¢ | $53 | 5d |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY Spurs | 65¢ | $591 | 8d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Spurs | 46¢ | $23 | 11d |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY Knicks | 55¢ | $22 | 11d |
| Heat vs. Hornets | BUY Heat | 33¢ | $13 | 66d |
| 76ers vs. Cavaliers | BUY Cavaliers | 86¢ | $86 | 102d |
| Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | BUY Perricard | 27¢ | $14 | 129d |
| Rams vs. Bears | BUY Bears | 36¢ | $11 | 152d |
| Suns vs. Heat | BUY Heat | 50¢ | $25 | 157d |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY Pistons | 46¢ | $46 | 186d |
| Giants vs. Patriots | BUY Patriots | 76¢ | $30 | 200d |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | BUY Raiders | 37¢ | $18 | 214d |
| Eagles vs. Packers | BUY Packers | 50¢ | $25 | 221d |
| Bucks vs. Pacers | BUY Pacers | 34¢ | $17 | 228d |
| Magic vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 36¢ | $18 | 235d |
| Blackhawks vs. Lightning | BUY Lightning | 74¢ | $59 | 239d |
| Wild vs. Rangers | BUY Wild | 44¢ | $44 | 242d |
| Wild vs. Rangers | SELL Wild | 43¢ | $90 | 242d |
| Wild vs. Rangers | BUY Wild | 44¢ | $92 | 242d |
| Jets vs. Islanders | BUY Islanders | 48¢ | $53 | 249d |