Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:45:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7007…5c07
crypto · 745 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,966 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,815 · open −$151
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$156
Realized−$4,815
Unrealized−$151
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses561 / 180
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Est. fees paid−$160
Open positions4
Markets (closed)741 / 745
History coverage112d
Avg bet$304
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$54
14 days+$41
30 days−$256
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Mattia Bellucci 87¢ 90¢ $87 $90 +$3 (+3%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Harry Wendelken 96¢ 26¢ $100 $27 −$73 (-73%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 93¢ 22¢ $100 $24 −$76 (-76%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 88¢ 68¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-22%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Peyton Stearns Peyton Stearns 94¢ 0¢ $1,493 $0 −$1,493 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals 95¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster Challengers 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus Marcos Giron 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Kiwoom DRX 84¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season Contra 83¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Thunder 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana Francisco Comesana 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jacob Fearnley vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jacob Fearnley 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Toby Samuel 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 DN SOOPers Challengers 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage UNO MILLE 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 91¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03? Yes 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Cincinnati Reds 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Brazzaville: Michael Geerts vs Iiro Vasa Michael Geerts 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Karmine Corp 94¢ 0¢ $301 $0 −$301 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $79 +$7 +8%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $100 +$13 +13%
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Jun 13 $100 +$3 +3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $49 +$6 +12%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $13 −$13 -99%
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? May 27 $10 +$2 +20%
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Sea May 19 $80 −$80 -100%
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Se May 19 $75 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe May 18 $75 +$3 +4%
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur May 18 $65 +$8 +12%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Simona Waltert vs Anhelina Kalinina May 18 $60 +$7 +12%
ITF Bucharest: Valeriia Artemeva vs Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas May 18 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: Kinoa vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - European Pr May 18 $592 −$534 -90%
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs P May 18 $21 −$19 -92%
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal May 18 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leagu May 18 $522 +$32 +6%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $221 −$4 -2%
Rainbow Six Siege: DarkZero Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - BLAST May 18 $330 +$15 +4%
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm May 18 $1 $0 +12%
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks May 18 $401 +$25 +6%
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever May 18 $502 +$21 +4%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies May 17 $501 +$21 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 17 $496 +$5 +1%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B May 17 $161 +$7 +4%
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South Ame May 17 $300 +$14 +4%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem, Qualification: Lisa Zaar vs Alana Sm May 17 $10 +$1 +10%
Hamburg European Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frances Tiafoe May 17 $1 $0 +10%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 17 $205 +$18 +9%
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League May 17 $127 +$10 +8%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - Parken C May 17 $100 +$6 +6%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 17 $100 +$3 +3%
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Max Schoenhaus May 17 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: ReThink vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group D May 17 $103 +$12 +12%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $301 +$22 +7%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. KT Wiz May 17 $302 +$36 +12%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Samsung Lions May 17 $312 +$14 +5%
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics May 17 $234 +$7 +3%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels May 17 $100 +$2 +2%
ITF Andong: Boyoung Jeong vs Dayeon Back May 17 $105 +$9 +8%
Sabres vs. Canadiens May 17 $101 +$9 +9%
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets May 17 $24 +$2 +7%
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Grand Rapids Griffins May 17 $6 −$6 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Car May 17 $1 −$1 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners May 17 $300 +$6 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$3,044
sports 27% −$1,259
other 1% −$330
world 0% −$336
politics 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz SELL Raphael Collignon 100¢ $86 31m
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin BUY Mattia Bellucci 87¢ $87 33m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 88¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 96¢ $100 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 88¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $109 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch SELL Tom Gentzsch 99¢ $109 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp SELL Mia Pohankova 100¢ $101 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz BUY Raphael Collignon 92¢ $79 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 91¢ $100 1h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Pa BUY Alycia Parks 93¢ $100 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko SELL Alexander Shevchenko 100¢ $109 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $114 1h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Alexander Shevchenko 92¢ $100 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista SELL Roberto Bautista Agut 100¢ $103 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady SELL Zachary Svajda 100¢ $55 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 89¢ $49 2h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Mia Pohankova 99¢ $100 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 97¢ $100 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 92¢ $100 2h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel BUY Toby Samuel 81¢ $1 4h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette BUY Barbora Krejcikova 77¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 88¢ $100 4h
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Thunder 58¢ $13 13d
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Sea BUY Contra 83¢ $30 25d
Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Sea BUY Contra 83¢ $50 25d
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Se SELL Red Feet 100¢ $79 25d
Counter-Strike: HereWeGoAgain vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Se BUY Red Feet 95¢ $75 25d
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs megoshort (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe BUY AM Gaming 97¢ $75 26d
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur SELL Alex de Minaur 100¢ $73 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -0.9% -10.3% 90% 30% -2.8%
≤30d 74 -10.7% -19.2% 81% 19% -11.9%
≤90d 411 -6.1% -15.0% 78% 33% -14.0%
all 741 -5.1% -14.1% 76% 31% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.1% 31% -11.4%
10% -22.4% 14% -19.9%
15% -29.9% 8% -27.6%
20% -36.7% 6% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $155.73 · official $155.73 (match) · 3349 history records