Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7001…2aba
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$48,511 -152%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48,410 · open −$101
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$504
Realized−$48,410
Unrealized−$101
Win rate (resolved)15%
Wins / losses48 / 271
Whale WR (big bets)9%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)319 / 129
History coverage80d
Avg bet$247
Trades / day43.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 319 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44,126
7 days−$44,231
14 days−$44,318
30 days−$45,878
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? No 6¢ 5¢ $600 $502 −$98 (-16%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? No 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $553 $0 −$553 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2,012 $0 −$2,012 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? No 4¢ 0¢ $2,104 $0 −$2,104 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 26? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 29? Jun 12 $136 −$136 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $553 −$553 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 19? Jun 12 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 1PM ET Jun 12 $2,012 −$2,012 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 26? Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30? Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1,048 −$588 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 3? Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $691 −$691 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 26? Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $370 −$370 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24? Jun 12 $276 −$276 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $978 −$978 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 25? Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? Jun 12 $3,887 −$3,887 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30? Jun 12 $323 −$323 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 26? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 2? Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 3? Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $257 −$257 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $373 −$373 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1,489 −$1,390 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $306 −$306 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2PM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 20? Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $47 +$47 +99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$4,897
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 5¢ $18 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-43.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -55.6% -59.8% 8% 7% -81.5%
≤30d 256 -47.1% -52.1% 12% 11% -67.6%
≤90d 319 -37.3% -43.2% 15% 14% -64.4%
all 319 -37.3% -43.2% 15% 14% -64.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.2% 14% -64.4%
10% ← realistic here -48.7% 14% -67.8%
15% -53.6% 14% -70.9%
20% -58.2% 14% -73.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $504.31 · official $504.31 (match) · 3500 history records