Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:43:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

70
0x7000…f60c
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$38 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses181 / 169
Open positions0
Markets (closed)350 / 350
History coverage256d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$3
14 days+$2
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -0.8% -10.2% 64% 49% -10.8%
≤30d 221 -3.4% -12.6% 57% 45% -12.7%
≤90d 317 -8.7% -17.4% 54% 42% -16.9%
all 350 -8.9% -17.6% 52% 41% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.6% 41% -17.2%
10% -25.5% 33% -25.1%
15% -32.7% 22% -32.4%
20% -39.3% 15% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 803 history records