Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6ffd…a637
other · 380 markets active 3h ago
3.0score
+$16,701 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,021 · open +$408
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,101
Realized+$12,021
Unrealized+$408
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses158 / 291
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Open positions255
Markets (closed)449 / 380
History coverage39d
Avg bet$118
Trades / day84.9
Drawdown19%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 255 History 449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$905
7 days+$6,031
14 days+$6,999
30 days+$11,581
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? Yes 21¢ 47¢ $1,302 $2,850 +$1,548 (+119%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June? Yes 16¢ 45¢ $935 $2,716 +$1,781 (+190%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? Yes 20¢ 45¢ $1,111 $2,518 +$1,406 (+127%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? Yes 8¢ 16¢ $464 $979 +$515 (+111%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? Yes 25¢ 30¢ $702 $844 +$143 (+20%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 51¢ 95¢ $256 $481 +$224 (+87%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes 71¢ 84¢ $398 $467 +$69 (+17%)
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 62¢ 96¢ $278 $429 +$151 (+54%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $378 $406 +$29 (+8%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes 31¢ 67¢ $187 $401 +$215 (+115%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June? No 81¢ 64¢ $502 $401 −$102 (-20%)
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June? Yes 23¢ 18¢ $482 $372 −$111 (-23%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $343 $364 +$21 (+6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 74¢ $383 $336 −$47 (-12%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $338 $333 −$5 (-1%)
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June? No 88¢ 87¢ $335 $332 −$3 (-1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Yes 57¢ 62¢ $279 $308 +$29 (+10%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes 38¢ 6¢ $1,772 $304 −$1,468 (-83%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $275 $289 +$14 (+5%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June? Yes 27¢ 29¢ $273 $289 +$16 (+6%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $232 $258 +$26 (+11%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? Yes 13¢ 6¢ $490 $248 −$243 (-49%)
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June? Yes 17¢ 5¢ $757 $246 −$511 (-67%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 56¢ 52¢ $225 $212 −$14 (-6%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No 92¢ 99¢ $184 $198 +$14 (+7%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31? Jun 14 $3 +$11 +370%
Will Cagliari win on 2025-11-03? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025? Jun 14 $13 −$12 -98%
Nancy Pelosi Index Up or Down: Week of November 24 Jun 14 $17 −$17 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03? Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12) Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in November? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.25 million Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Will Google reach $330 in March? Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $250–265 in 2025? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Jensen Huang say "GPU" 5+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? Jun 14 $15 −$14 -99%
Will Hudson Williams attend the Oscars? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Amazon reach $240 in January? Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Powell say "Volatile" during March press conference? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -91%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026 Jun 14 $5 −$7 -134%
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Infinex FDV above $3B one day after launch? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $440–460 in 2025? Jun 14 $33 −$29 -89%
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 20 Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? Jun 14 $5 +$299 +6030%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026 Jun 14 $93 +$77 +83%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in April? Jun 14 $10 −$1 -14%
Will Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025 Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tesla reach $518 in November? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Amazon dip to $196 in December? Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355-$360 on the final day of trading of Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 20 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? Jun 14 $21 −$24 -116%
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December? Jun 14 $23 −$20 -90%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on December 24? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Jun 14 $8 −$9 -108%
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January? Jun 14 $4 −$26 -586%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$14,458
finance 18% −$1,577
world 9% +$80
tech 7% +$645
crypto 1% −$62
economics 0% +$16
politics 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 3h
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? SELL Yes 44¢ $19 4h
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? SELL Yes 45¢ $26 4h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June? BUY Yes 42¢ $17 4h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 74¢ $74 6h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 49¢ $74 6h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY Yes 60¢ $60 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2 SELL Yes 70¢ $24 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? BUY Yes 14¢ $15 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? BUY No 51¢ $14 6h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 6h
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026 BUY Yes 46¢ $16 7h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June? BUY Yes 30¢ $35 14h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 18¢ $10 14h
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026 BUY Yes 82¢ $46 14h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 64¢ $134 14h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 84¢ $365 14h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? SELL Yes 63¢ $113 14h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $50 14h
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June? BUY Yes 41¢ $51 14h
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026 SELL No 45¢ $1 15h
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026 BUY Yes 70¢ $215 15h
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? BUY Yes 17¢ $180 15h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $94 15h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? BUY Yes 12¢ $15 15h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 15h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2 SELL Yes 58¢ $31 16h
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2 SELL Yes 80¢ $24 16h
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? SELL Yes 44¢ $28 24h
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in June? SELL Yes 3¢ $8 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)+34.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 +21.7% +10.1% 19% 18% +67.1%
≤30d 417 +48.8% +34.6% 35% 28% +37.5%
≤90d 449 +49.0% +34.8% 35% 29% +35.7%
all 449 +49.0% +34.8% 35% 29% +35.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +34.8% 29% +35.7%
10% ← realistic here +21.9% 24% +22.7%
15% +10.2% 22% +10.8%
20% -0.6% 20% -0.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,101.49 · official $22,079.15 (match) · 3500 history records