Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:02:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6ffc…29ba crypto 955 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 6d only
✗ bot/MM pace (456 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$6,403 (-10%) realized −$6,403 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%508W / 499L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$68per market
Trades / day455.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$14,670
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (456 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1007 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -20.1%
≤30d 1007 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -20.1%
≤90d 1007 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -20.1%
all 1007 -11.8% -20.2% 50% 50% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover455.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 50% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.8% 48% -27.7%
15% -34.8% 45% -34.7%
20% -41.2% 41% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -12% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late -57% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$51 vs −$67 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,403
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses508 / 499
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1007 / 955
History coverage7d ⚠
Avg bet$68
Trades / day455.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1007 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $225 −$225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $158 −$158 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $76 −$76 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $30 −$30 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 16 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $89 −$89 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 16 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $271 −$271 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $64 −$64 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 16 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $61 −$61 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $64 −$64 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 16 $40 −$40 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $67 −$67 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $196 −$196 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 16 $62 −$62 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $826 −$826 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 16 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 16 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $127 −$127 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 16 $75 −$75 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $165 −$165 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $102 −$102 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $71 −$71 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $25 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $25 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $17 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records