trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 29% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 29% | 0% | -11.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -7.8% | -16.6% | 29% | 0% | -11.3% |
| all | 11 | +1.9% | -7.8% | 27% | 9% | -3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -7.8% | 9% | -3.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -16.6% | 9% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -24.7% | 9% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 9% | -29.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $179 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $849 | −$12 | -1% |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Jun 28 | $122 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Jun 28 | $125 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $237 | −$2 | -1% |
| Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 14 | Jun 24 | $29 | −$15 | -53% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | Jun 24 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 19 | $25,841 | −$10 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no | Mar 18 | $8,604 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 18 | $17,127 | $0 | +0% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Mar 18 | $4,964 | +$3,737 | +75% |