Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6ffb…f7f0
sports · 772 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$5,323 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,731 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$214
Realized+$4,731
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses393 / 375
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$894
Open positions4
Markets (closed)768 / 772
History coverage89d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day15.4
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 768 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$124
7 days−$188
14 days−$354
30 days+$445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 34¢ 58¢ $60 $103 +$43 (+72%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 55¢ 57¢ $60 $63 +$3 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 60¢ 48¢ $59 $47 −$11 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs fnatic 56¢ 0¢ $60 $1 −$59 (-99%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Spirit 45¢ 0¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs Yellow Submarine 44¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Pitstop crew vs Hermine Esports Club (BO3) - Exort Series Contenders Stage Pitstop crew 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs Ilbirs eSports 40¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs KO (BO3) - Esports World Cup MESWA Closed Qualifier Playoffs KO 7¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs F9 Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs F9 Team 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Eternal Fire 49¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 37¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage MOUZ 33¢ 0¢ $232 $0 −$232 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 73¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Group B VP.Prodigy 39¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs Nemiga Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 72¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 43¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Tricked 57¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 53¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 28¢ 0¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage ex-RUBY 48¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 2007 vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group D 2007 63¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner Rune Eaters 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $60 −$59 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $57 −$56 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $61 +$37 +60%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $60 −$59 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $63 +$87 +139%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $43 −$42 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $32 −$31 -98%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $72 +$43 +60%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $61 +$45 +74%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $74 +$48 +64%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $122 −$120 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $63 +$74 +118%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $62 −$62 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $61 −$60 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$15 -47%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $61 +$35 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $63 +$48 +76%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $59 +$48 +82%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $64 −$63 -99%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs VP.Prodigy (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $60 +$31 +52%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - The International Europe Op Jun 10 $58 −$57 -98%
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 10 $63 −$62 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $64 −$63 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $66 +$48 +73%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $61 +$67 +109%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $52 +$47 +89%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clu Jun 09 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $61 +$47 +77%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $62 −$10 -16%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $63 +$50 +79%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $59 +$44 +74%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stag Jun 08 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN C Jun 08 $62 +$31 +51%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $60 −$59 -99%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 08 $61 +$34 +55%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Grou Jun 07 $60 +$41 +68%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $61 −$60 -99%
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $62 +$59 +95%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $149 −$146 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $131 +$221 +168%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $58 −$57 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $60 −$59 -99%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 07 $61 −$60 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $149 +$307 +206%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$3,800
other 3% +$906
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 60¢ $59 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 34¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY fnatic 56¢ $61 1h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY SPARTA 55¢ $61 3h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 62¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 48¢ $3 5h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY Walczaki 48¢ $57 5h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 62¢ $59 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $57 8h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 99¢ $97 18h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $60 19h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $61 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $150 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $63 24h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 23¢ $43 24h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 28¢ $31 28h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $32 28h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ SELL OLDBOYS- 100¢ $115 40h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $106 40h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL Ursa 100¢ $122 41h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 56¢ $61 42h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 62¢ $72 43h
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Ursa 60¢ $74 43h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 49¢ $61 44h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $61 44h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $137 46h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 55¢ $62 2d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $63 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 37¢ $61 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 66¢ $17 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -13.9% -22.1% 46% 46% -15.6%
≤30d 285 -0.5% -10.0% 55% 55% -7.2%
≤90d 768 +1.5% -8.2% 51% 51% -3.9%
all 768 +1.5% -8.2% 51% 51% -3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 51% -3.9%
10% -17.0% 51% -13.1%
15% -25.0% 47% -21.5%
20% -32.3% 38% -29.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $214.24 · official $214.24 (match) · 1418 history records