Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:09:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6ffa…bc19
other · 6 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$67 -44%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$52 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$58
Realized−$52
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit17%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$52
14 days−$52
30 days−$52
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 60¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-5%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $11 +$5 +46%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $57 −$57 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$61
sports 7% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 36m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 68¢ $11 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $4 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $4 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $6 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $30 4h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 4h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $57 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-34.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -27.3% -34.2% 50% 50% -78.8%
≤30d 2 -27.3% -34.2% 50% 50% -78.8%
≤90d 2 -27.3% -34.2% 50% 50% -78.8%
all 2 -27.3% -34.2% 50% 50% -78.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -34.2% 50% -78.8%
10% -40.5% 50% -80.8%
15% -46.2% 50% -82.6%
20% -51.5% 0% -84.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.11 · official $58.11 (match) · 11 history records