Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:55:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6ff8…ba49
sports · 84 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$11
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses35 / 22
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions27
Markets (closed)57 / 84
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day42.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 27 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Over 55¢ 57¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 74¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 52¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 53¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ 57¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 69¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 65¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 75¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 99¢ 98¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 70¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 58¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 52¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals No 83¢ 80¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 97¢ 91¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$2 +45%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +30%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 +$1 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $2 +$2 +92%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +43%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +89%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +72%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +89%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $2 +$1 +39%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2 +$1 +56%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +45%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $2 +$2 +82%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2 +$2 +82%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +24%
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 +$2 +72%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 +$1 +59%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +92%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 +$1 +39%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $2 +$2 +92%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $2 +$2 +85%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $5 +$4 +75%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$2 +75%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$1 +35%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $5 +$3 +64%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2 +$1 +35%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $5 +$3 +64%
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 10 $5 +$2 +45%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$13
other 15% −$1
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 51¢ $2 8m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 54¢ $2 24m
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY No 83¢ $2 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 58¢ $2 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 75¢ $2 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 58¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 63¢ $2 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 59¢ $2 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 74¢ $2 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 53¢ $2 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 55¢ $2 3h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 78¢ $2 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 52¢ $2 5h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl BUY Team Vitality 52¢ $2 6h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $2 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $2 7h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 65¢ $2 7h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $2 8h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $2 10h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 70¢ $2 10h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $2 10h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $2 11h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 85¢ $2 15h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 61¢ $2 16h
Czechia leading at halftime? BUY No 76¢ $2 17h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY LOS 55¢ $2 17h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 52¢ $2 17h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 51¢ $2 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -16.3%
≤30d 57 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -16.3%
≤90d 57 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -16.3%
all 57 -2.4% -11.7% 61% 61% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 61% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 58% -24.3%
15% -27.9% 49% -31.6%
20% -35.0% 37% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.92 · official $51.92 (match) · 119 history records